DATASET
LBMA Silver Price Forecast Analysis — Accuracy & Consensus Data
AhaSignals' analysis of the LBMA Annual Silver Price Forecast Survey, covering 2020–2026 with 171+ individual analyst predictions. This page provides derived analytical metrics including accuracy rankings, consensus divergence indices, and dispersion scores. Silver forecasts are particularly interesting due to the dual industrial/monetary demand narrative. For the original survey data, please visit the LBMA directly.
← Back to Silver Forecast TrackerTotal Records
171+
Date Range
2020–2026
Format
Analysis
Update Frequency
Annual (Jan)
Data Preview
| Year | Analyst | Institution | Forecast | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Bart Melek | TD Securities | $44.25 | Cautious |
| 2026 | Bernard Dahdah | Natixis | $52 | Cautious |
| 2026 | Jacob Smith | Mitsubishi Corporation | $61 | Moderate |
| 2026 | Frank Schallenberger | LBBW | $63.2 | Moderate |
| 2026 | Caroline Bain | Bain Commodities | $63.5 | Moderate |
| 2026 | Srivatsava Ganapathy | Eventell Global Advisory P Ltd. | $64.5 | Moderate |
| 2026 | Nicky Shiels | MKS PAMP SA | $65 | Moderate |
| 2026 | Rohit Savant | CPM Group LLC | $67.25 | Moderate |
Showing first 8 rows of analysis data.
LBMA Silver Forecast Survey Data
Analysis based on 171+ analyst forecasts · 2020–2026 · accuracy metrics computed by AhaSignals
- Consensus divergence analysis (CDI)
- Forecast accuracy rankings
- Dispersion score tracking
- Historical error analysis
- Institutional vs independent comparison
- Narrative cascade detection
Original Data Source
The raw forecast data is sourced from the LBMA Annual Precious Metals Forecast Survey, published each January by the London Bullion Market Association. For the original survey data, please visit the LBMA directly.
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Methodology & Notes
Data analysis is based on the LBMA Annual Forecast Survey for silver, published each January alongside the gold survey. Silver forecasts reflect the unique challenge of pricing an asset with both industrial demand (solar, electronics, AI) and monetary/investment demand. AhaSignals compiles derived analytical metrics (accuracy rankings, consensus divergence, dispersion scores) from publicly available LBMA publications and cross-references with historical actual prices from the London Fix. For the original survey data, visit lbma.org.uk.
Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the LBMA Silver Forecast Survey?
- The LBMA Annual Silver Forecast Survey collects calendar-year average silver price predictions from precious metals analysts at banks, trading houses, and research firms. It is published alongside the gold survey each January.
- How many analysts are covered in the analysis?
- Our analysis covers 171+ individual analyst forecasts spanning 2020–2026. Silver typically has fewer participants than gold, reflecting the smaller analyst coverage universe.
- Why are silver forecasts harder than gold?
- Silver has dual demand drivers — industrial (solar panels, electronics, AI infrastructure) and monetary/investment — making it harder to forecast. Industrial demand is cyclical and tied to manufacturing activity, while investment demand is driven by the same safe-haven factors as gold.
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Data provided for research and educational purposes only. Not investment advice. See methodology.