Australia × China low correlation

S&P/ASX 200 vs SSE Composite Correlation 2026

Cross-market correlation analysis between S&P/ASX 200 (Australia) and SSE Composite (China). Research-only. Not investment advice.

Last updated: Apr 8, 2026 · ASX200: 8,952 · SSEC: 3,995

QUICK ANSWER · AS OF Apr 8, 2026

What is the ASX200 vs SSEC correlation in 2026?

The ASX200-SSEC 30D correlation is 0.30 (5Y baseline: 0.32). S&P/ASX 200 at 8,952 (YTD: +1.5%), SSE Composite at 3,995 (YTD: +8.5%). Regime: low correlation.

30D Corr

0.30

5Y Baseline

0.32

ASX200

8,952

SSEC

3,995

Australia-China correlation is low-to-moderate. Despite Australia's heavy trade dependence on China (iron ore, coal), A-share market dynamics are domestically driven.

Correlation Dashboard

S&P/ASX 200 (Australia)

8,952

YTD: +1.5%

SSE Composite (China)

3,995

YTD: +8.5%

30D Correlation

0.30

90D Correlation

0.25

1Y Correlation

0.28

5Y Baseline

0.32

Regime Analysis

Australia-China correlation is low-to-moderate. Despite Australia's heavy trade dependence on China (iron ore, coal), A-share market dynamics are domestically driven.

Divergence Score

Score

7/100

Signal

LOW

Deviation

0.02

Score = |30D corr − 5Y baseline| / 0.30 × 100, capped at 100. Higher = greater deviation from historical norm.

Data Freshness & Timezone

Each index is observed at its local market close. Cross-timezone correlations align returns to the later-closing market's trading day.

Index Market Close Time (Local) Timezone As Of
ASX200 Australia 16:00 AEST (+10:00) 2026-04-08
SSEC China 15:00 CST (+08:00) 2026-04-08

Methodology

Correlations are Pearson rolling correlations of daily log returns, computed over the specified window (30D, 90D, 1Y). Returns are calculated from local-currency index levels at each market's official close time.

For cross-timezone pairs (e.g., ASX200 in AEST vs SSEC in CST), returns are aligned to the later-closing market's trading day. This means SSEC's return on day T is paired with ASX200's return on the same calendar day.

Regime classification: high (≥0.60), moderate (0.35–0.59), low (0.15–0.34), negative (<0.15). The 5-year baseline represents the average 90D rolling correlation over 2021–2025.

Known Limitations:

  • Timezone misalignment: ASX200 (AEST) and SSEC (CST) close at different times. Asian markets close before European/US markets open, so "same-day" correlations reflect lagged information flow.
  • Holiday calendars: Different national holidays create gaps in return series. Missing days are excluded from correlation calculations.
  • Currency effects: Correlations are computed in local currency. FX movements (e.g., USD/JPY, EUR/USD) are embedded in the correlation but not isolated.
  • Regime dependency: Correlations are backward-looking and can shift rapidly during crises. The 30D window captures recent dynamics but may not reflect structural relationships.

v0.1-beta · Research use only — not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the ASX200-SSEC correlation in 2026?

The 30-day rolling correlation between S&P/ASX 200 and SSE Composite is 0.30 as of Apr 8, 2026. The 5-year baseline is 0.32. Current regime: low correlation.

Why does the ASX200-SSEC correlation matter?

The correlation between S&P/ASX 200 (Australia) and SSE Composite (China) measures how closely these markets move together. High correlation means diversification benefits are limited; low correlation means the markets respond to different drivers, offering potential diversification. Changes in correlation can signal regime shifts in global capital flows.

Is this a trading signal?

No. This page provides research-only cross-market correlation analysis. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to trade.

RELATED CORRELATIONS

📊 Get Global Equity Correlation Matrix Updates

Get weekly updates when the GECM dashboard state changes materially, plus new research on consensus fragility and market divergence. Research-only. Not trade signals.

🔒 No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. 2,000+ researchers and practitioners as of Apr 2026.

📎 Cite This Data

APA 7th Edition

AhaSignals. (2026). ASX200-SSEC Correlation. Retrieved April 18, 2026, from https://ahasignals.com/equity-correlation/asx-sse/

Methodology: v0.1-beta

Data as-of: Apr 8, 2026

Research purposes only. Not investment advice. All index inputs from free, public, clickable sources.

APRIL 2026 AUDIT

April 2026 Cross-Asset Divergence Audit

Cross-asset correlations in April 2026 are shifting as macro fragility signals intensify. This audit maps the Q2–Q3 divergence patterns across commodities, rates, and digital assets. See the full <a href="/cross-asset-correlation-dashboard/" class="underline hover:text-accent">Correlation Dashboard</a> for all April signals.

Last consensus audit performed on April 18, 2026. Correlation signals update with each tracker build cycle.

This page is for informational and research purposes only — not investment advice. Equity markets are volatile. Past correlation patterns do not predict future performance. Index levels are derived from publicly available market observations. © 2026 AhaSignals. All rights reserved.