Felix Liu
Founder and Research Lead, AhaSignals
Felix Liu works at the intersection of enterprise data systems and macro-financial research. His work focuses on consensus formation, forecast divergence, and market fragility across gold, silver, the U.S. dollar, rates, and prediction markets.
Profile
With more than five years of experience as a Senior Consultant at Oracle, Felix Liu has worked on enterprise-grade data architecture and financial systems. At AhaSignals, he develops research frameworks and monitoring tools that examine how institutional forecasts, market prices, market-implied probabilities, and narratives diverge under uncertainty.
His current work includes research on consensus fragility, cross-layer dislocation, repricing risk, and auditable cross-market research methods.
Research Focus
Research Approach
Felix Liu's work combines data engineering, macro-financial analysis, and AI-assisted research workflows. His research is based on the view that market consensus should not be treated as a single number, but as a layered structure visible across forecasts, prices, probabilities, and narratives.
At AhaSignals, this approach is used to build auditable cross-market research tools, methods notes, and working papers rather than simple directional market commentary.
Current Work
Felix Liu is currently developing the AhaSignals research framework around consensus fragility, including working papers, market trackers, methods notes, and structured datasets.
- Consensus fragility across gold, silver, and macro markets
- Cross-platform pricing differences in prediction markets
- Institutional forecast analysis and revision behavior
- Cross-layer market dislocation and repricing risk
Featured Research
Related AhaSignals Trackers
External Profiles
Research Transparency
AhaSignals aims to disclose authorship, review status, methods, source types, and revision history where relevant. For more detail on how research is produced and updated, see our Research Standards & Editorial Policy.
Contact
AhaSignals currently manages public research correspondence through a central research contact.
Research contact: research@ahasignals.com
This author page is maintained by AhaSignals and updated when the author's role, profile, or featured works materially change.